I. Course
Themes-- Origins, Conduct & Consequences of WW2 in Aftermath of WW1
A. Declining British/French response to
aggressive Germany--evaluate policy from Versailles to Appeasement
B. Did
Versailles Treaty Cause WW2? What caused World War Two?
(Link
to article about a few of the myths)
C. Revolution: How did ideology affect origins &
conduct of war?
D. How did USSR shape & help win WW2? How did
Cold War begin?
E. Why did Allies win/Axis lose & what was the
role of the 2nd Front?
F. Is War Possible Again? Why WW1? When & why
did WW2 start? Was it inevitable?
II. Total War
Trauma: WAR IS NOT POSSIBLE: NEVER AGAIN! No Short War, No
Long War
A. Demographic, Spiritual, Philosophical,
Psychological Destruction
B. Social/Cultural/Political/Economic/Financial
Instability--New War Risks Revolt or Socialism
C. Strategic/Ideological/Moral Dilemmas
Make War Unthinkable: If War...
1. Win Short War Quickly/Offensive
Thrust? NO: Trench Warfare Advantage to Defensive!
2. Fight Long Total War? (Weaken Enemy
Morale thru Blockade?): NO!
3. Alliance with USSR Would Risk
Socialism: 2nd Front Gone
a. Commies Published Treaties,
Repudiated Debts, Quit, Betrayed
b. Suspect USSR: Delay Inevitable
War w/Capitalism, Await Intra-Capitalist War
c. So Where Will France Find
Security? USA? British?
d. British & French Disagree
re Continental Commitment vs. Germany
e. USA: Unilateralism
("Isolationism") Neutrality & Johnson Acts Amid Depression
D. Drawing Lessons from Studying History: WW1,
WW2 & Bosnia: NEVER AGAIN WAR
1. Learn & Prevent War! What Causes Wars?
STOP IT! Pacifism/Appeasement--Prevention or Cause?
2. Assume All Learn Same Lessons? Could
Anyone Consider War Fruitful?
3. Collective Security Amplifies All
Small Conflicts: War for Peace?
III. Realpolitik and the Importance of Power, Leadership
& Ideas--Does "Realism" Cause War?
A. Ingredients of Power:
Economic/Industrial/Technology/Geography/Demography
B. Leadership Civilian, Domestic, Diplomatic (UN
v Axis), & Military (Strategic/Tactical/Logistical)
C. IDEOLOGY: Liberal
Capitalist/Democracies v Nazi/Fascist LEADER v Communism
1. PreWW1 FREE Move of Goods, Money, &
Migrants & Stable Central Currency
2. Democracy Beats Monarchy 1919,
Communism 1989, Terrorism...! New Threats '30s/'00s?
3. Interwar Ideological Battle &
Depression Shape Use of Power: WAR
IV. Why New War?
WHEN? Was Europe So Weakened That 30 Years War Ensues?
A. Versailles Treaty Doesn't Solve, But Worsens
Situation, Reparations Stupid
1. Too Harsh: German Denied Input, Lost
Land, Guilty
2. Inherently UNSTABLE, Balance of Power
Gone; Minorities Weaken Eastern Europe
3. Continuity of German Aims, 1914-41:
Revisionist War: Hitler Normal? Opportunist? Blueprint?
B. Or Europe Recovers in 1920s & Plunges Again
Due to Depression & Hitler
1. German Revisionist War Likely vs.
Status Quo Powers: Nazi Holocaust Certain?
2. Locarno Political/Economic
(Borders/Reparations) Recovery: Significance?
3. Instability Potentially Solvable, But
Depression Leads to Hitler!
4. Important LATE Western Shift from
Acquiescence to Resolve
V. Origins of WARS & of WW1: Immediate Causes & General
Origins: STOP THEM! Do Solutions Solve?
1) Nation-States Exist & Practice
Realpolitik vs. Int'l Law & League of Nations
2)
Kings Make Alliances Secretly vs. Open Diplomacy & Democracy
3) German Q: Challenge SQ/League of
Nations vs. Victors Ally to Carve/Restrain Germany
4) Capitalist Econ Rivals/Empire vs.
Open Door to Raw Materials/Markets/Free Seas
5) Arms Races & Cult of Offensive
vs. Arms Control & Disarmament
6) Multinational
Empire: Autocrats Oppress Minorities vs.
Self- Determination & Democracy For All Whites
THE VERSAILLES TREATY: CONTEXT & CLAUSES
I. Did Versailles Treaty Cause WW2: 20 Year Truce? Links to
Excellent Site 1 and
2--with
guide to where key points are found
II. Wilson's Eternal Peacemaking Program:
14 Points
A. 1918 Elections & Washington's Farewell:
Woodrow Wilson's Domestic Position?
B. Secular Messianic USA & USSR Pariah, Thanks to
Debts, Betrayal, Communist Triumph
C. Open
world: remove antagonism's roots thru arms cuts; no secret diplomacy/allies; =,
open access to markets/RM, free navigation (2,4,5)
D.
Self-determination: free Alsace-Lorraine/Belgium; tyranny over Poles, Aus
minorities: (Hapsburg/Romanov successor states critical)
(6)
E. League of Nations: enforcement (& amendment?)
mechanism (1-2)
F. Germans Accept as Basis for Armistice: Feel
Diktat Violates (3?)
III. How Restore Order & Prevent Future War? Realism vs.
Moralism
A. Reestablish Pre-War Balance of Power?
Discredited Realpolitik (1?)
1. Russian Outcasts & German
Apprentices: Restrain Both?
2. Prevent Communist Spread: Intervene
against USSR (Cold War?); Nice to Germans?
B. Make Peace Quickly to Restore Stability:
Errors Inevitable
C. Neither Victor's Carthaginian Peace Nor One of
Accommodation
D. Balance Destroyed: German Power Remains: USA
CRUCIAL!?
E. Restrain Germany: HOW? Punish? Integrate???
Can't Dismember (3)
1. Arms Cuts Unequal, (Temporarily)
Enforced, League of Nations Moral Force
2. French Goals: Security Guarantee vs.
Germany, $$ Aid to Rebuild
3. British Hope: Pension Cash, Navy
Eliminated, Germany as Trading Partner; No Territorial Losses
IV. Peacemaking: Compromises of Secret Treaties & 14
Points
A. Italy Unsuccessfully Demands Albania/Fiume/Dalmatia:
Resentment Leads to Mussolini
B. Open Diplomacy & Sovereign Equality vs. Big 3
& Diktat (2)
C. Mandates are Fig Leaf for Colonial Expansion;
Blockades Retained (3)
D. Racist Application of Self-Determination
Offends Japan (Racial Equality Clause Fails) (6)
E. Selective Self-Determination: Germany Mostly
Intact & Resentful (French Secure?) (3/6)
1. Demography & Geography: French Need
Aid! Conditional/Worthless US-UK Pledge
2. Rhineland: Occupied 15 Yrs,
Demilitarized "Forever"
3. German Military Unilaterally Shrunk:
Numerically, Air, Subs, German General Staff (5)
4. No US $ Aid: Repay Debts: German
Reparations Essential
F. Germans Complain: Poles/Anschluss/Sudetens: "SubHumanOppressors"
(6)
1. Excluded from Conference, Diktat, Lose
Territory/Colonies
(Link to Bitter German Response, 1919)
2. But German Power Largely Intact:
Prestige Damaged
3. Punished without Recognizing Defeat:
Any Losses Unjust, See Brest-Litovsk Re Complaints
(More
Positive View)
V. USA Abdication: Treaty Defeated--Unilateralism
Reasserted
A. Senate Defense of Prerogatives: Advice &
consent on treaties
B. Delegation: No Republicans or Senators; Sick
Wilson Refuses to Compromise
C. Congress' privilege to declare war? Undermined
by Article X of Covenant: preserve & respect political
independence & territorial integrity of all
vs. external aggression
D. Ideals Compromised at Paris & Excessive
Idealism:
Link to
Assessments of Wilson's Legacy
VI. Security? Victors' Coalition Falters:
Economic/Military/Financial Power without USA?
A. German Resentment Certain, But is Hitler
Necessary? Compare with France post-1815?
B.
Washington Conference
Naval Cuts (US, British & Japan) & Construction Holiday on Capital Ships
C. "Militarist France" & Japanese Resentment w/o
Effective Restraint: Status Quo Possible?
D. British/French DIVIDE, US Withdraws, USSR
Evicted, Italy Goes Fascist
1. British Seek Continental French/German
Equilibrium & Balance of Power, Not French Hegemon
2. French Strict vs. British Lenient
Application of Treaty
3.
Treaty Not Fully
Enforced: Loses Credibility with Victors! Did Failure to Enforce Cause World
War 2?
Link to One Historian's Assessment of Its Legacy
E. Wilson's & Keynes' "Economic
Consequences" & Political Consequences: Treaty Perceived as Unfair
20'S ECONOMIC & SECURITY ILLUSIONS: THE RUHR CRISIS & LOCARNO
II. Reparations: French Exasperated with German
Recalcitrance & A-Am Alliance Bailout
A. Genoa Failure
'22: British/French Split; German-Soviet Concord @ Rapallo & Soviet
NEP
B. Brits Swing
Toward Keynes re Trade: German Market for British Goods
C. France:
Enforce Treaty
Germany: Dismantle Treaty
Britain: Revise Treaty
D. German Reparations
to France Cut German Ability to Pay for British Imports;
E. German Exports
To Pay France Compete w/British Exports
F. Deadlock:
Ruhr Occupied, Jan ’23 Poincaré: ENFORCE
Versailles Treaty, Since Germany Lost War
G. Franco/Belgian
Army Seek Reparations in Kind; German Passive Resistance/Printing Causes
Inflation
1. Weimar Weak: Erzberger Killed 1921, Rathenau 1922; Rightist Putsch
in Bavaria (Link
to Account)
2. Stresemann Fulfills Versailles Treaty: G Wins By Losing, Fr Loses (Unilateralism Absurd: Munich)
H. US Multilateral
Solution: Loans Stabilize Temporarily
1. French Resent US Insistence on Loan Repayment: Is Gold More Precious
than Blood?
2. Financial Aid (From New York, Rather than Washington): Plan & Guarantee
Reparations Payments
a. Dawes Plan (1924): Evacuate Ruhr,
Short Term US Loans: Locarno
Link
b. Young Plan (1929): Reps Cut Again, Stretched
Long Term to 1988
3. Stable Economic Recovery/Prosperity, '24-29: Illusive, Superficial,
Dependent on US $$
III. Security: Weak/Defensive France Can't Disarm, Looks
East To Weak Successor States to Create Balance of Power?
A. French
Need Strong Germany to Pay Reparations & vs Communism; Needs Weak Germany
to Ensure Security
B. NO
USSR: Status Quo (SQ) Powers Ally to Oppose Any Revisions: CORDON
SANITAIRE
C. France:
Belg
'20, Poles '21, Czechs '24, Rumania '26, Yugo '27 Little Entente: Czech-Yugo-Rum '21 vs
Hungary
D. Cordon
vs. USSR/Germans, Yet Foci Vary/Minorities; Fragile SQ Democracy/Geogr
Weak vs. Revisionists
E. League
Enforce '23?: League Wd Designate Aggressor/Signatories Respond on Own
Continent (Br Oppose All?)
F. Geneva
Protocol vs Aggressor: If Refuse Arbitrate, All Reply: But Would US Resist
If Sanctions Interrupt Trade?
G. Failed
French/British Co-Operation: Enables German Initiative: Concede Guarantee
of French Frontier; East?
IV. "Spirit of Locarno,"
1925: Optimistic New Beginning without Followup (Defines Next Battlefield)
A. Real
End to WW1: A "Peace Treaty" Germans Accept Willingly w/o Diktat
B. G
Want to Keep Rearming (Rapallo) & Get Cologne Evacuated,
Yet Weak IMCC Reports Flagrant Violations
C. Germans
Guarantee Frontier: Rhineland Pact: Br/Fr/Germany/Belgium/Italy
Renounce War & Guarantee Frontier
1. Settle Differences by Arbitration (Also in East)
2. Germany Joins League w/o Military Obligation (Berlin Treaty '26 Reassures
USSR)
3. French Allowed Self-Defense Reply ONLY if Germans Breach the
Demilitarization of Rhineland
4. Yet How Save France's Polish & Czech Allies Except By Crossing German
Border? Maginot Mentality
D. No
Penalty For Reparations Default/Rearmament: Unenforceable! Yet "Militarist
France" Blamed!
E. G-Polish
& G-Czech Arbitration Conventions ONLY: No German Pledge on Eastern
Borders
F. No
Joint British-French Staff Planning Possible: Britain Avoids Real Commitment
G. Link
to Extraordinarily Positive United Nations-Sponsored Commemorative 75th
Anniversary Website
V. Stresemann's Motives?: Is there Continuity in German
Aims, Wilhelm II to Stresemann to Hitler?
A. Individuals,
Contingency (1929 Death) & Inevitability: Was Stresemann a Good European?
B. NonUnilateral
Nationalist, Sought Peaceful, Moderate Revision of Polish Border (&
US Cash)
C. Entertained
Mini-War As Last Resort vs Poles: Was This Possible?
D. So:
Would
Any German Challenge to Versailles Result in European War? World War?
E. Turner/Parker
Say No: What Does This Say About
30 Yrs War Thesis?
F. So
Do Dawes/Locarno Ensure Stability or Do they Ensure the Nazis?
Disarmament Possible?
VI. More Evidence of "Spirit of Locarno"? Or Is
Briand A Realist Who Will Accept LCD to get British Aid?
A. Kellogg-Briand
Pact '28; Briand's EuroUnion Idea; Maginot Line; Cordon Sanitaire to Idealism?
B. Link
to Brief, Favorable Biography of Andre Maginot
C. Maginot
Impact On Pole/Czech Very Different From On US/UK: Passivity or NonMilitarism?
VII. Did Missed Opportunities/Failure To Establish
Secure Political/Economic Base Cause World War 2?
I. External/Internal Economic Causes & Consequences
of Great Depression:Link
to Excellent On-line Summary &
Another
A. Destructive
Dependence on Shaky US Leadership: '29 Crash/Hi Tariffs/Reparations
Loans End: Debts Delinquent:
Link to Smoot-Hawley
B. Collapse
of Business, Personal Confidence, Credit, & Imports Affects Europe
C. Euro/Global
Agricultural
Glut Leads to Falling Prices, Trade, Credit, and Failing Banks?
1. From Export Agriculture to Subsistence Agriculture: Govt & Mercantile
Revenue Fall
2. Banks/People/States Can't Pay (International) $$ Obligation
3. Prevent Trade Deficits: Exchange Controls, Tariffs Rise
4. Imports Fall 2/3: Laissez Faire Interdependence Replaced By Statism
D. From
Confidence & Cooperation to Cutthroat Competition
II. Had Hoped Techno Rescue From
Instability; Rather, Sci/Tech Aggravate War's Impact
A. AirPower,
Car, Tank, Radio, Movies, Antibiotics; Genetics, Tobacco/Cancer & Nazi
Eugenics
B. Science
No Liberator: Einstein, Relativity/ism, A-Bomb: Govt Control vs. Free Exchange
of Ideas
III. Political Consequences of Great Depression As US
& Germany Hit Hardest: Illusions Turn to Pessimism
A. Trade Reprisals
Push Move to
Self-Sufficiency: Anti-Status Quo (In Extremity, Lebensraum)
B. Hitler
in Germany, Internal Division in Potential Opponents
C. USA
Vs. Europe Bitterness: Debt Delinquency : From Moratorium to Johnson
Act '
D. Ideological
Divisions: Nat'lism/Communism/Fascism Gain vs. Liberal-Capitalist
Int'lism
1. WEuropean/US Demos Turn Inward, Confidence Shaken & Defense $$ DOWN:
Crazy
2. Willpower to Cooperate & Resist Lacking; Balance Budget to Restore
Confidence Vs Aid to Poor?
3. Baffling Mindsets: Führer Idea, Struggle Glorified; Dictatorships in E &
C Europe--See Shift
4. Fascist Irrational Nationalism, Middle-Class Base, Top-Down Control
E.
Did
Great Depression Cause World War 2?
IV. Ideological Battlegrounds: France, Austria, German,
Italy, Britain, Spain, USSR
A. Domestic
Context for Foreign Policy: Borders Blurred By Shared Hate or Redirect
Hatred Out
B. Fear: Compromise
Means Enemy Infiltration Amid Implicit/Explicit Extremist Co-op vs. Center
C. Violence
as Solution to Political Problems: Why? Why not Britain?
D.
So
What is the Importance of Ideology in Upcoming War?
V.
France: Delayed
& Debilitating Effects: Neither Surrender VT Nor Defend It: Will Disintegrate
A. Less Industrial/Less
Dependent on Trade; Delay Devaluation: Stagnation, Postpones Recovery
B. Imperial
Preference Curbs Econ Influence on EEur; the Lingering Econ Collapse Leads
to Social Disharmony
C. Budget:
Votes/Confidence: 11 Govts 1932-35, 24 1930-40 LEADERS?
Avenue for Extremists
(Link to Index of Instability)
D. Stavisky
Affair: Right v Left Extremes Empowered By Police/Judiciary Corrupt,
Inept Chamber
1. Long-Held Hates Blossom: Patriotism=Racism?: Dreyfus Redux: Feb
34 Riots
2. Right Had Often Exploited Corruption Protection/Suicides/Delayed
Medical Care, Say Cynics
3. Dalimier Letters Threaten Chautemps Govt, Blames Others, Shifts Responsibility,
Quits
4. Silenced Suspect Leads to Left/Rightist Riots, Premiers Chautemps,
Daladier Quit
5.
Link: French Embassy Site on Resnais "Stavisky" Film Cited in Text
E. Class/Regional
Divides Influenced By Econ Distress: Leftist Riot Draws Heavier Police
Fire
1. Rival Paramilitaries: Right to Bear Arms...Army/Provincial Loyalty?
Who're true Fr?
2. Similar Divisions Apparent in Death of Red Vienna, Austria, Leads
to Anschluss
3. Link to
Official Austrian Government Summary of "Red Vienna"
4. Popular Front Wins (40Hr Week): Hitler, Not Blum!:
Fear Spanish Civil War, Reds, Air Attack
F. France
Weak as Germany Recovers: '36 Devaluation Useless: Leftist Euphoria Scares
Market
G. Obvious
Dependence on Anglo-Americans: No Independent FPolicy, Maginot Undermines
EEur Allies
H. Can't Act
Resolutely versus Foreign Dangers & Can't Rearm Until Forced
VI. League?: '31 Fails Test: Japan's Aggression
in "Manchukuo" Responds to Chinese Nat'list Assertion
A. Challenges
to Imperialism (Amritsar) Foreshadow post-WW2; Japan & West Resent
China
B. Demography,
Geography, Politics, Economics & Japan's Expansion
C. League:
Asia Far Away; USA & USSR Not in League of Nations/Wilson
& Lenin's Disdain for Empire
D. Pinpricks:
Stimson Doctrine, Lytton Commission (Sterling Collapses) & Maoist
Opposition to Lytton & Chiang
E.
Link
to Dutch Scholar's Evaluation of League of Nations &
Brief Description of Versailles
Treaty/League's Rise & Decline
F.
Link to Official League of Nations Website
VII. Germany:
Short term US Loans Gone; Unemployment Similar to USA:
11% '20s to 30% '32 Unwise Dissolution: 1930
A. Stresemann/Young
Plan Forgotten: Allies Quit Rhine in 1930: So What! Nazis Multiply
8x in Elections
B. Nazi: Alienated,
Violent, Hopeless Youth: Before
Full Depression: Extremists 40%
'30, 50%+'32
C. Brüning/Papen/Schleicher
Rule by Decree '30-32: Nazi '32 Vote Falls!; CP Rises, Hitler Chosen as
Chancellor
D. Right Hated
Socialist Support of Hindenburg '32, Chooses Nazis; Democratic Suicide;
Power Achieved Legally
E. Wheelbarrow
Memory; Hitler/Savior: Rearm, Recover Freedom/Honor Restored/Sacrificed
F. Xenophobic
View of '19/'23/'29: Food/RM/Race Security: Econ Stability, Lebensraum
G. Though
War Post-Recovery, Depression Unrest Aided Hitler, Germany Hostile &
Capable
H. Machtergreifung
of Parties/Unions/Federal States Absorbed; Used Old Guard Schacht/Reichswehr
1.
Link to Analysis of Nazism
2.
Link to Account/Photo of 1933 Bookburning
3. Link to Calvin College
Archive of Nazi Propaganda & Especially to Wartime
Propaganda
I. 1934
"Night of Long Knives" Consolidates Power:
SS Destroys Röhm's Violent SA Brownshirts
1. Order Reassures German/European Right about NSDAP: Appeasers
Ignore Evidence of Brutal Hitler
2. Papen Typifies Herrenklub Blindness, Trying to Coopt Nazis!?!
3. Victims Left & Right: Complicit in Officers' Death, Army Corrupted
by Oath, Leads to Nazi Power Monopoly
4. Germany Well Placed to Capitalize Upon Successor States Strife
J. Dollfuss
Dies, Mussolini Marches to Brenner Pass; Germany Rearms, and Mussolini
Joins Stresa Pact '35
VIII. 1935-6
Italy's
Imperial Glory: League Impotent, TERROR WAR, Axis
A. Despite
Corfu '23/Matteotti '24, Apparently Tolerant Dictator: Precedent to Relax
About Hitler
B. Sawdust
Caesar's Revenge for Adowa: Precedent For Bombings
C. France/Britain:
Italy Emulates Colonial Example... League Credibility? versus Security
Priorities?
1. Peace Indivisible?: Can/Will League or Powers Identify/Respond to Aggression?
With War?
2. Can League Act On Issue That Exists Only Because League Does? Public
Expects Referral to League
3. Musso Attacks: British & French Disorganized/Divided/Unwilling to
Act/Unable to Ignore
4. Mussolini Thought British & French Consented @ Stresa: Colonial
Hypocrites!
5. Sanctions: Weak/Inconsistent/Antagonize, US Uses Oil Loophole; Denies
Arms to Both
6.
Bungled, Weak Realpolitik vs. Principle: Hoare-Laval Topples French Govt, so None @Rhine Occupation
7. League Fails 2nd Test: Ignored @ Munich & Otherwise
D. Germany:
Armed Ethiopia to Ensure Resistance & Divide Stresa
1. Mussolini Driven To Depend On Hitler (Also By Aid to Spain), Stresa
Gone, League Frail
2. West Exaggerates Italian Power: Brits Have 3 Enemies
E. Italy Underdeveloped:
Fascism No Better, Too Ambitious!
1. League's Ethiopian Sanctions/Credit Do Slowly Hurt Economic Recovery
2. Italian Dependence on British Coal Replaced By German; Isolation=Subordination
IX. Britain: Tempered
Yet Real Class Conflict: Economy, Trenches/BOMBER Dictate appeasement
A. Baldwin:
Unity/Amity over Leadership post-Zinoviev Letter Fraud '24 & General
Strike '26
B. Labour
Wins '29, Falls '31: Aid 20% Unemployed or Balance Budget? Royal Navy Mutinies
over Pay
C. Imperial
Preference '32: Econ/Pol Focus on Empire; Retaliates for Smoot-Hawley;
Influence on E Europe?
D. Early Devaluation:
Boosts Exports Briefly, But Retaliation...Retain Markets?
1. Just Rearming Might Bankrupt: WAR? No, Can't Win Short/Can't Sustain
Long War
2.
Trade Balance 4th Arm (Invisibles): Treasury--Can't Rearm or Fight:
Imports Up, Exports Down; Johnson Act Cuts Off US $
E. Imperially
Vulnerable: Mediterranean/Singapore: Need Allies vs Too Many Enemies!
Only France?
F. Befriend Italy, Japan? USA Opposes Conciliating Japan; Dominions Ignore EEur; USSR: Suspects Intent to Bleed Reds
G. National
Gov't: Chamberlain Fears War Winners Labour in UK, US in Empire, USSR in
Europe
H. Case Study:
1936: Long-term Economic Decline in Jarrow: Northeastern Shipbuilding
Link
1. Uncompetitive Industry w/Extra Capacity: Lithgow's Perceived Role in
Tyneside Tragedy/WW2
2. Red Ellen Protests in Constitutional Context, Parochials Reject Jobs
Enroute
I. REITERATE:
SQ DEMOCRACIES: NO DESIRE FOR WAR: MUNICH/APPEASEMENT
X. 1936: Fears Realized: Spanish Civil
War:
A Dress Rehearsal of Ideas/Arms
A.
Link
to Catalog of SCW Posters at UCal-San Diego
B. Spanish
Hates: Republic Hated by Anarchists, Army, Clergy
Link to Orwell's Account
1. Rival Burials: Death of Democracy in Austria, Spain, NIreland
2. FFranco Needs Outside Aid to Restore Pure Spain (Airlift)
C. Republicans
(USSR) vs Franco (Germany & Italy Draw Closer)
(Britain, France?)
D. Mussolini:
Why? Ego, Med, Reds; Nazis: Reds, Distract,
Aldershot, Ore
E. France/Britain/USA:
Wild Emotions, Strict Neutrality, Non-Intervention
1. British Tory Govt Anti-Nat'lization & Red Gains; No RN Help
2. FrenchPopular Front: Needs Britain versus Germany, Domestic Fears of
Own Civil War
3. Int'l Brigades: Passions High, Media Bias; US Embargo
F USSR:
Ideology & Prolongation w/Supplies; Fate of Activists: Link
to Trotskyite View of SCW (p.5)
G. Hardware:
Bomber Will Always Get Through: Condor Legion
1. Guernica: History, Myth, Art...Ongoing Basque Efforts
2. Franco: Blame Anarchists; OK Target; Not Destroyed byBombs
H. Govts'
Stake Restrained, Yet Spanish Civil War Makes War Imaginable Again
for Leftists: A CAUSE!
I. Yet Spanish Civil War Also Prevents Effective Anti-German Coalition
J. French Gov't Falls as It Closes Border to Aid, So No Govt @Anschluss:
Same Old Story
K. Spanish
Civil War: Ideological Confusion Erodes Western Will: A Direct/Indirect
Cause of WW2
XI. 1935: USSR: Revolution Unleashes
Questions About Radical Change: Great Purge
(homage to
Stalin)
A. Brutal
Terror Amid Social Scientific Certainty: Is Cause Democratic Centralism,
or CPSU, or Stalin?
B. Early
'20s: Consolidate Socialism in 1 Country: Wait for Revolution (NEP)
C. Late
'20s: Consolidate Stalin's Power: Collectivize/Rapid Industrialization
Through Terror
D. Consumer
Goods, Agr Population/Production Fall : Liquidate Kulaks to Break Peasants/Labor
E. Int'l
Context: Dictators Rise/West Weak: Stalin Tries to Push West Forward: Popular
Front
F. Domestic
Context: Kill All Possible Political/Military Internal Rivals: Opportunist
re Kirov's Death '34
1. Stalin May Not Have Personally Authorized Kirov's Death, But Uses to
Keep All Power
2. Personality Cult (Venerate Stalin) Intensifies, Accused Old Bolshies
of Links w/Trotsky
3. '36: Purges Accelerate Amid Hypocritical Constitution: Zinoviev/Kamenev/Connected
4. '37: Radek & Pyatakov; '38: Bukharin, Rykov & Krestinsky
5. '37: Mil Purge (Rapallo): Tukhachevsky Executed: Professional, Maybe
Too Set on War
6. False Evidence: SS versus Armies 1/3 Officer Corps Gone,
Up to 80-90% Colonels/Generals
7. Cannibals' Kafkaesque Incomprehensibility: Spanish Vets Shot & NKVD
Investigators!
8. Also Ordinary/Foreign Communists & Acquaintances of Executed Shot
G. How
& Why: Methods: What is Truth? CPSU's Historically
Determined Triumph:
Link to Official
Party History
1. Fictitious Defendants & Confessions: Knowledge of Other Crimes?
Sense of Guilt?
2. Family Threatened; Confessors Implicate Others Quest for Control Spirals
Out of Control
3. Exclusion from Party Intolerable Even As It Killed You:
Link
to Online Summary of Purge
H. Consequences:
Impact on USSR's Military Power & Long Term Viability of Int'l Communism
1. Involved Include All Leaders to 1985/Cold War (Effects on USSR Initiatives
& Western Trust?)
2. Link
to Trotskyite View of Socialism's Viability: Purges Enable Capitalists
to Excuse Selves (para 4)
3. Blind Loyalty to Stalin: Fear, Lies & Reality; Western Media Views
Delay Full Comprehension
4. Affects British/French Options re Munich, Summer 1939, Finland
5. Western Right-Wing Willingness to Appease Hitler
I. If Choice Forced, Which Would You Have Chosen to live Under? Nazism
or Communism?
XII. What is Overall Impact of Ideology? Does it Cause
War? Does it Shape War?
A. How
Firmly Should We Believe in Our Political Ideologies?
B. Does
Preparation for War Produce War? Or Does It Produce Peace?
FROM PEACE TOWARD WAR: THE DICTATORS' THREAT THROUGH SPRING 1938
I. Hitler/Germans Defy Versailles: Opportunist w/Overall
Aims/Plan
A. Go
BEYOND Versailles/Self-Determination/Military Parity/Polish Corridor...to
What Kind of War?
B. MEIN
KAMPF: Enough Living Space? Racial/Nat'l Hegemony: Lebensraum
1. "Racial Suicide" or Better Agriculture? NO! Beyond 1914--Racial Emigration:
Adjacent Expansion East
2. From Stresemann's Revisionism to Hitler's Racist Aggression
3. Racial Cleansing of Jews & Slavs ( & Communists)
4. French Obstacle, Russian Enemy, Italy Ally, USA Eventual Target
5. British Ally?: Dislike German Methods, Not
Apparent Aims
a. Don't Clearly Object to Germany as #1 in Central & Eastern Europe:
How Far?
b.
Accept Change Needed, Insist on Talks, Not Force (But Coercive
Negotiations Rely on Threats!)
c. US & USSR: Econ/Military/Ideological Threat to Both Germany &
Britain
d. Won't Repeat Kaiser/Tirpitz Surface Navy Contest
e. Germany Wants Bilateral Alliance to Unleash Germany on USSR
f. Britain Wants Multilateral Accords to Create Stable Peace
C. Early
Rhetoric & Reality: Conciliation/Confrontation Mixed:
How Hitler Bobbed & Weaved
1. West Hopes for Restraint: "Can't Really Mean What He Said"
2. May 1933: Renews German-Soviet 1926 Treaty of Berlin & July 1933:
Vatican Concordat
3. October 1933: Quits Disarmament Conference (Camouflage), Exits League
of Nations
4.
German-Polish Treaty, Jan 1934: Flexible, Peaceful, End
Isolation?... Or Disrupt Fr Alliances & Target USSR
5. Long Knives (June 1934): Violent, But Eliminated Left Wing
6. Nazi Coup in Austria (July 1934): Dollfuss Dead, Mussolini to Brenner
7. Denounce Military Clauses of Versailles/Open Rearming (March 1935)
II. Wider Context: The Weaker Challengers: Italy
& Japan Contrasted
A. Italy:
Ambitious Yet Economy Underdeveloped & Dependent
1. Locarno Guarantor/Stresa Shifts to Axis: Fatal Attraction
2. Rearm Early, But Swiftly Obsolete, for Spain/Africa Costly
3. Leadership & Training Poor: Liability for Germans
4. Fascist Emphasis on Rural Virtue Yet Divided Nation North/South
5. Underequipped, Mussolini Hopeless Manager, Yet
Perception
of
Strength
B. Japanese Threat Underrated: Ongoing Econ Growth & Ambition
1.
Trained, Spirited, Patriotic Troops; Carrier Strength Yet Interservice
Bickering & Weak Civilian "Control"
2. '31 Attack Undermines League; '37 Attack Distracts Britain & US
Link To US Amb Assessment of Powerful Japan
3. Expansionist Policy: Making Wrong (Anglo-American) Enemies
4. Dependence on Imported Raw Materials: Context for Pearl Harbor
III. Hesitant French Response: Toward Collective
Security with Soviet Aid?
A. Security Over Ideology: Barthou's Realpolitik Effort (Link
to Brief online biography of Barthou)
B. Revives Old East European Alliances, Seeks New: Italy & USSR
C.
Tenuous Franco-Sovt Alliance Established (1934-35) Fear Unites: Status
Quo Power & Revisionist Ignore 1917-9
1. Germans Rearm 3/35, So Alliance Enacted (5/35), But Eastern Europe Upset,
Fears Nearby Soviets
a. Barthou Tries Eastern Locarno With Parallel Russian-French Pact
b.
Polish Hatred of Russia Destroys Eastern Locarno: So Does No Hapsburg
Substitute Cause WW2?
2. Popular Front: Comintern Approval of Co-Operation
3. French Right Hates Popular Front, Inhibits Co-Op; Implement w/o
Staff Talks?
D. Does USSR Want Stability/Peace/Status Quo?
E. Italo-French Co-Operation? Amid Central European Rivalry?
1.
Barthou Dies: Croatian Separatism Sponsored by Mussolini, Successor
Laval Inept Overall After Initial "Success"
2.
Builds on Barthou: Establish Stresa Front (4/35): No More Violations
of VT Obligations (Austria/Arms)
3. Popular Front Govt & Ethiopian War Undermine Franco-Italian Co-Operation
F. Defections: Britain Partly (British-German Naval Treaty 6/35), Italy/Belgium
Out
1. Mussolini Angry at League Sanctions & British/French Colonial Hypocrisy
2. Franco-Italian Alliance Kaput: 15 Divisions Now Needed in Alps
3. Rhine Remilitarized: Belgium Drops French Ally
What Purpose Now for Maginot Line?
IV. Germany: Aggressive, Capable, Terrifying, Overrated?
Link to Article about Myths of German Wartime Performance
A. Tremendous Record of Victories ('35-) '39-41 Hides Flaws
B. Buildup Threatens Breakdown: Fragile Recovery From 1914-25
C. Decision-Making Chaos: Breakneck Expansion: Demands Overlap
D. Synthetics, Barter & Exchange Controls, But Foreign $$ Needed for
Raw Materials
1. Restrictive Trade Agreements Aim: Block Marks' Use
2. Eastern Europeans Sell Germany Food/Raw Materials, Can Buy Only What
Germany Sells
3. German Shortages Remain: Only Real Answer War
4. Consequences of Limits: Desire & Need Plunder/Booty
5. Germany Needs War: Rapid Rearmament to Expand & Enable Rearmament
6. So Hitler Causes WW2? What Does This Suggest About Marxist Analysis
of Capitalism?
E. Answer to Contradictions: Blitzkrieg's Operational Doctrine, Relative
Effectiveness
F. Tank Concentration (Fewer than France) & Close Air Support
G. Mobility & Equipment Limited: Reliance on Horses, No Strategic Bomber
1. How Far Can You Go with Blitzkrieg/Nazi Racism? When Stop?
2. Rearming Wide Not Deep: LONG WAR? Strong Relative to Whom?
3. After Lebensraum: The Z Plan (1/39) and World Power
H. Yet Western Perceptions of German Power Lead to Munich/Appeasement
I. Did a Missed Chance to Curb Hitler's Ambition Cause WW2?
V. German Unilateral Assault on Versailles System
(Ethiopian Cover):
Link to Article Providing Insights about Working for Hitler
A. Remilitarizing Rhineland, 3/36: "Germany's Backyard"
1. Does WW2 Begin Here?
2. Ostensibly Franco-USSR "Red Menace" Excuse; Rhineland is German
Springboard Later
3.
Hoare-Laval Mess Overthrows French Govt, Divides Britain & France:
Link
to Hoare's Whining Justification
4. Contrast France at Ruhr '23 & Rhine '36: Will France Ever
Fight?
a. Brits Perceive Self-Determination, Ignore Power
b. Govt Weak, Army Staff Adds to Intelligence on German Troop Deployment
c. Pivotal? Would Hitler Really Have Quit Without War?
d. Poland & Little Entente Gravitate Toward Germany
B. German/Austrian Anschluss, 3/38: Does WW2 Begin Here?
1. Austrian Identity? & Question of Self-Determination: Anschluss Surrounds
Czechs
2. Hitler's Opportunism: Intimidated Schuschnigg Provokes
3.
Invited Enables Claim of Legitimate Form; Red Vienna Dead Inhibit Leftist
Response; French NO GOVT
4. Link
to Austrian Views of Anschluss
& "Plebiscite"
5. Repeated Improvisations Suggest Bi-Yearly Schedule
6. Allies Will Eventually Resist Intolerable Subversion/Threats
7. Smallwood: Controversy over Hitler's Approach/Blame:
Link to
Description of Taylor Thesis
8. German Economic Stranglehold over EEur Successor States/Rivals Develops
C. Have-Nots Emboldened to Challenge Status Quo: French Bulwark Weak
1938: MUNICH & APPEASEMENT'S ROOTS, PRACTICE & FAILURE
I. Appeasement's Motives: Methodism, Markets, Many Dangers, Masses
II. German Pressure on Czechoslovakia: Sudeten Self-Det
Protests, 1938:
Link to Detailed
Documentation &
More Documentation
A. Czech
Multinational State: Only Real Democracy Left in Eastern Europe
B. Sudetens
Had Never Been Part of the Reich: Pretext for Power Grab
C.
Konrad Henlein Subversive, Totalitarian, Denies Nazi Links
III. British/French Response: Munich & Appeasement:
Czechoslovakia's Doom
A. Defensive
French Need Britain to Resist: Would Resolve Deter? Provoke?
B. Britain:
Reasonable
Conciliation Preferred over Deterrence
1. Balance of Power Approach Morally, Practically Impossible!
a. Ally Across Ideological Divide & WW1 Memories? Encircle
b. Purges Weaken USSR; Their Motives?: Embroil West?
c. Litvinov Promised Aid: Gambit To Trap West In War?
d. Germany the "Natural" #1 European Power: French System Artificial
e. Axis & Anti-Comintern Threat: Multiple-Front War?
2. Locarno Heritage: Germany Go East! Ditch France's Allies?
a. But German Power Accretion Threatens West Europe
b. Is Eastern Europe Less Important to Britain Than to France (or
USA?)
3. Neville Chamberlain: Reason Over Passion: Passionate Hate of
War
a. Confidently Negotiates From Weakness: No Long War, No War
b. Can't Make Obvious Wish To Avoid War at All Costs
c. Sic vis pacem para bellum: Hatred of War: Leverage?
4. Ducking Insufficient; Active Resolution Needed to Prevent Accident
C. 5/38 Crisis: Br & Fr Blame "Provocative Czechs": Need
Resolution:
Link
to Summary w/Photo & Audio Links
D. 9/38 Escalation: Nüremberg Speech & Sudeten Harassment
1. Innocent Hitler Furious at Perception of His Apparent Back Down 5/38:
He wants WAR!!
2. Though Satisfying Henlein Would Mean Detaching Sudetens, British Seek
Settlement In Czechoslovakia!
3. 1st Flight to Berchtesgaden: Chamberlain Concedes Annexation of
Sudetenland:
Link to Discussion
a. Hitler Excludes Polish/Hungarian Demands on Teschen/Slovakia
b. British & French Withdraw Support: Czechs Capitulate
4. Appeasement's Coercive Aspect: Hitler Creates Crisis; Brits Coerce Czechs!
5. Godesberg: Surprised Hitler Includes Polish & Hungarian Demand
a. Hitler Seeks Immediate Occupation:
Question Becomes the Method
of Transfer
b. Hitler Wants Quick Bilateral War; Britain/France Resist to Forestall
Unilateral Gains Made By Force
c. Western Public Outrage: The Shift Begins Now, Though Relief at Peace
is Real
d. Evacuation/Gas Mask Horror: Chamberlain Determined to get PEACE
E. War Imminent?: Munich Conference: Western Will Collapses at Last Minute:
1. Musso Sponsors Neville's Locarno: Mediate w/GERMAN Plan
a. Hitler Sought War, Yet Opponents Aided Racial Utopia w/ Multilateral
Agreement to Nearly Identical Terms
b. Quick Military Occupation; Guarantee Czechs After Poles/Hungarians Get
Their Slice
2. Negotiate Legal Czech Surrender: No Fight for Sudetenland: Poor Hitler:
No War
3. Brits Abandon Czechs, Embitter Unwilling USA, Exclude "Eager" USSR:
Nazi/Soviet Pact '39
4. British Euphoria/Regret:
Link to Agreement Text; Link
to "Peace In Our Time" Upon Return
a. Link
to Chamberlain's Speech in Defense in Commons
b. Illogical/Impractical British Guarantee of Truncated Czechia
c. Munich Not Better Than Godesberg: Cowardly Sacrifice of Others for Peace
Gradually Disillusions
d. Unhappy Hitler Determines to Get War Next Time: Link
to 1997 Mutual Apology
F. Full Evaluation of Munich Requires Look Ahead: Does Munich Cause
World War 2?
V. Competition for USSR Cooperation: Genesis of
Nazi-Soviet Pact
A. Sovt
Military Investment/Industr'l Growth at Great Agricultural/Social Cost
1. Isolated from Great Depression: Public Relations Victory
2. Control over Innovation at Every Level: Purges Weaken
B. Catchup: Effort, Purge Enemies, Get Friends: From Popular Front to Munich
to Nazi-Soviet Pact
C. West Needs Help to Fulfill Polish Pledge as Political/Military
Talks w/USSR Crawl
1. Can't Let USSR Enter Threatened States Against Their Will, But
2. USSR Wants Red Army into (Eastern, White Russian & Ukrainian) Poland
Pre-War (Won't Leave)
3.
Can't Give USSR Poland & East Europe To Save From Germany &
Stop Hitler, Can You?
Don't You (1945)?
4. Chamberlain Fears Alliance with USSR Encircles & Provokes Germans
5. Polish Pledge Rules Out USSR As Ally Chamberlain Didn't Want
6. Chamberlain Still Hoped Gestures Wd Be Enough, HalfHearted
7. British/French Peons Dally, Hitler Hurries: Stalin Wooed
8. 5/39 Signal: Molotov Replaces Jew Litvinov
as Commissar
D. Nazis Offer USSR Non-Aggression Pact & Eastern European Sphere
of Influence
1. From Popular Front/Collective Security 1934-38 to Nazi-Soviet Pact
2. Nazi-Soviet Pact: Appeases, Turns Nazis West Post-Poland: Link
to Terms
3. Blueprint for Aggression: 4th Partition of Poland (Does
Nazi-Soviet Pact Cause World War 2?)
E. Evaluate Nazi-Soviet Pact: Doomed France/Poles: Stalin Sensible? Inept?
1. Avoid Western Combination vs USSR & Delay Invasion & Supplied
Nazis
2. Revise Post-WW1 Borders & Gain Territory, But Also Gain Common Border!
3. Never Enhanced Defenses Systematically: OK til France Falls
F. Where/When Will Necessary Anti-German Coalition Arise?: Link
to Scholarly Analysis of Failure to Achieve Grand Alliance of Britain,
France & USSR, Blaming West & Mostly Exonerating USSR &
to Online
Review of His Book
VI. Britain: Why War for Poland, Not Czechs? France Will
Fight (Defensively)
A. Labour/Dissenter Pressure that Hitler Cannot Be Trusted
B. Fight in '39: We Can: Air Confidence Growing, RDF Developing, German
Economy Thought Weakening
VII. Hitler Goes to War: Germans Cause War; British
Decisions Dictate Timing
A. British Resolve Post-Nazi/Soviet Pact Surprises Hitler: Delays
6 Days to Try & Detach Britain
1. Nazi-Soviet Pact 8/23; Anglo-Polish Alliance 8/25
2. British Support for Independence But Not Integrity
B. Hitler Wants Polish War, Expects British & French Concessions: NO!!
C. BritishResolve: Coerce & Deter Hitler to Backdown; If Not: War!
D. British Guarantee CAUSES Overdue 1939 War (1938 Context)
E. German Attack, 1 Sept '39: From Shaky Peace to WAR
F. British & French Do Delay 2 Days to Co-Ordinate (& Perhaps Appease?):
Audio
Link to Declaration of War
G. Peace Required German Patience, Real British/French/Russian Alliance,
or Continued Appeasement
H. British/French Keep Promise, Get Ultra Intelligence!
VIII. Nazi Methods' Eventual Impact Repopularizes Balance
of Power Approach
A. Does Appeasement = Peace at ANY Price, Or are There Limits?
B. We've Been Deceived! Betrayed! Make Him Pay!
C. Is War Declaration Abandonment or Fulfillment of Appeasement?
D. Mix of Conciliation/Coercion Failed: Unbalanced, Disbelieved
E. Improvised Bi-Yearly Subversions Eventually Resisted
IX. Assessment: Who Benefited Most From Munich? Was It
Worth It?
Link to Debate in
Commons &
Contemporary Assessments
A. Were They "Guilty Men?" Was "The Gathering Storm" Unnecessary?
B. Or Was Britain a "Troubled Giant?" a "Weary Titan?"
C. What Motivates Our View of Appeasement?
D. Appeasers' Case: Breather Gained So Public & Dominions Ready in
'39
1. Chamberlain Not A Wimp, Actually Too Confident
2. Spitfire Developed Meanwhile! Yet Slow Western Military Buildup
Overall
3. Chamberlain Sought Lasting Real Peace
Not Delay; He was
Unrealistic
4. British Say Eastern Europe was Irrelevant, Yet Impeded France
in 1938, Pledged to Aid in 1939
a. Britain Thereby Becomes #1 German Enemy '38-'41
b. Try To Avoid German Blame for 1914 (We Didn't Expect...)
c. British Coercion '38 (May Act) Leads to Peace/Dishonor
Anyway
d. British Coercion '39 (Will Act) Leads to War Anyway
E. Year May Have Saved Britain But Lost Europe, Embittered USA
1. LUFTWAFFE Bomber Range: Could Not Have Reached British Soil in 1938
2. Yet Czech Raw Materials, Gold, Skoda Arms Plant, Army Lost, Stalin's
Paranoid View of West Accelerated
F. Alternatives: Chiefs of Staff View of Military Balance was Excessively,
Perhaps Deliberately Bleak
1. COS Never Considered Impact of Czech Loss
2. Another Win for Terror: Czech Gold/Equipment Used Against Poland
G. Would German Generals Have Overthrown Hitler (Prestige Growing): Enduring
Myth
1. All Generals Hesitant: Ludwig Beck Resigns Yet West Feeble Too
2. Omits West's Hatred of War: Playing Chicken
3. Postwar Cold War Anti-Appeasers and Rehabilitation of Germans Served
By This Myth
H. So is Honor/Character Relevant in Assessing Leadership?
X. Lessons Learned: Hitler Unappeasable: Are All
Dictators?
A. Is Appeasement Ever Moral? Was Hitler A Rational Partner?
B. Future Leaders Hampered By Reluctance to Ever Be Seen Appeasing!
Memory Too Good
1. US Appeasers Kennedy (& Bullitt): Impact on JFK Etc.
2. Ongoing Use of Munich: Nasser '56, Ho '60s, Saddam '91
C. What Can We Learn From History?
D. Collective Security Breaks Promises or Makes Every Little War= Big War
XI. Declaration of War: Aquinas' Conditions: A Just War?
A. Declaration by a Legitimate Authority (State): Yes
B. Just Cause: Yes
C. Right Intention: Yes
D. Last Resort: Yes--the Virtue of Appeasement
E. Reasonable Hope of Success: ????
XII. Conditions for Conduct of a Just War
A. Due Proportion Between Benefits Sought & Damage Incurred: ??
B. Non-combatant Immunity: ??
PHONEY WAR?: POLAND & SCANDINAVIA
I. Germany Defeats Poland: Axis Initiative Continues
Thanks to Blitzkrieg
A. Poles
Lose Quickly, 1 September-5 October 39: Outnumbered/outequipped/outflanked
(Cavalry Charge?)
1. No Western Front/Aid: France/Britain Mobilize Slowly, Germans Focus
on Poles
2. British Request: Delay Mobilizing to Avoid Provoking Germany
3. Political Need to Defend Corridor: Outflanked: Link
to Map of Divided Poland
a. No Defense in Depth Possible of Long Borders (Czech,Prussia)
b. No Withdrawal Possible for Effective Counterattack, Fighting Retreat
Invited Envelopment Pincers
c. Panzers Breakthrough & Exploit & Infantry Follow-up
d. Crucial USSR Assault Ends War Early (Often Forgotten that USSR Was Cobelligerent,
Not Neutral)
(Polish
View)
B. Horrific Aftermath: Toll: 70000 Killed September 39; 4-5 million civilians
Later
C. MassMurder @Home Too: Euthanise "Defective" Germans: Mentally
Ill, Old, Wounded: Link
to Account
1. Bishop
Galen's Sermon Condemning Euthanasia & to
Review of Award-Winning Book on Nazi Euthanasia
D. More Die in Warsaw Than Entire British & US Death Toll
E. Contribution: Role in Battle of Britain; Anders' Army to USSR
1. ENIGMA Codebreakers Evacuated & Progress Kept Secret
2. Escapees Warned West of Holocaust in 1942 & Prominent Role
at Monte Cassino in Italy, 1944
3. Warned & Transported V-2 Engine to British (Peenemünde)
4. Govt in Exile: Sikorski PM & Commander-in-Chief until 1943:
But No Ukrainians on Ruling Council!
a. Undemocratic Govt Since 1926 Now Necessarily Continues With Limited
Credibility
b. Khrushchev Civilian Boss in Lwow Manages Annexation Fraud
c.
Katyn
1940: Soviets Massacre '000s of Officers: Link
to Emotional Appeal Illustrating Context
5. Katyn Revelation in 1943 Leads to Broken Relations and USSR Sponsors
Lublin Puppet Alternative
F. USSR Active German Partner: Implications for British Blockade!!
II. Phoney War/Sitzkrieg/Bore War: Only Real Fighting
At Sea
A. Britain Won't Yet Bomb Arms Plants, Since They're Private Property;
Fear Revenge
B. Hitler Ready to Go West, Wehrmacht Cautious: 29 Delays, Meanwhile USA
Sumner Welles Mission 3/40
III. Scandinavian War, 1: Winter War, 11/39 to 3/40:
USSR Attacks Finns
A. USSR: Nazi/Soviet Pact Designated Finland in Soviet Sphere (Had Been
Russian, 1809-1917)
1. Stalin Wants Leningrad Security: Karelia & Hanko Naval Base
B. Inspired Resistance/War: Purges, Arrogance, Little Daylight, Skis/White
Uniforms
1. Finns' Defense Broken in Feb 40: No Effective Aid (Link
to Finnish Website on Winter War)
2. Draconian Peace Leads to Renewed War in 1941-44 as Nazi Ally: Link
to Map of Finns' Land Seized
C. Result: USSR 200K Dead, Credibility Undermined: Invites German Attack
D. British/French Response: Proper Strategy? French Less Hopeful
of Results from Blockade
1. Delay Helps West Arm, But Stalin Supplies Hitler
2. French Indecision Criticized at Home: PM Reynaud Replaces Daladier,
3/40-6/40
3. French Fear Nazi-Soviet Pact Unleashes Germany on West, so Maybe Attack
USSR to Deny Nazi Swede
Iron Ore & Caucasus Oil? & Relieve Finn!??
Link to Blurb for & Review
of Book on British Plans
IV. Scandinavian War, 2: Norway & Denmark,
4/40: Hitler Preempts Again
A. Though Finland Quits, British Prepare to Mine Norwegian Waters to Deny
Ice-Free Route for Swedish Ore
B. British Failure in Norway: (Apr/May 1940): Churchill as Prime Minister
1. Tho German Naval Inferior, 1st on Scene: Wehrmacht Can't Be Dislodged
2. Br/Fr Win @Narvik, But Exit 6/40 Amid Fr Crisis, Get Norwegian Fleet
into Exile to Benefit Allies
3. Germans GAIN Norwegian Heavy Water (Deuterium Oxide [Atomic]) &
Bases: Pincer for Atlantic Battle
4. Link to Analysis
of Swedish Codebreaking & Efforts to Remain Neutral
FALL GELB: THE FALL OF FRANCE
I. Nazi Attack Thru Ardennes: Manstein/Rundstedt's
SICHELSCHNITT
A. French Fall (5-6/1940): Ends European Balance of Power & Endangers
US & USSR 6/41
B. WHY FALL?: "Strange Defeat"? French Democracy Hollow, Divided?
1. Vichy Right Exploits Loss versus Left: Ideological Conflict Distracts
From French Army's Failure!
2. Maginot Not Extended Behind Belg/Fr Border: NE Fr Industrialized
& Can't Abandon Unwise Belgium
3. French Aid to Belgium Catastrophic: Ambitious Sortie Forward: Plan
D/Breda Variant Uses Reserves
4. German Army Not Superior Numerically: Surprise, Doctrine, Organization!
5. Link to Great Site
for War Maps: All onwar.com maps © Copyright
Ralph Zuljan 2000
6. Link German
Propaganda: Why They Won in '40, & Why '40 Armistice was much Kinder
than 1919 Treaty
C. Army Group A Panzer Blitzkrieg into Ardennes:
LOCALLY
Superior
3:1
1. Divisions: 44A 29B against NBelg; 17C against Maginot:
Divides Allied Left & Right
2. Poor Staff Work: Missed Chance at Combined Counterattack
3. C-in-C HQ's Dispersed With Poor Communications
4. Panic: 8-10m Refugees Clog Roads & Kill Messengers
5. Belgian Retreat Prevents British Attack; French Misused Tanks